Rolf mowatt larsson biography

  • Rolf Mowatt-Larssen was the inaugural William J. Perry Distinguished Fellow at NTI, where he supported NTI's work on global threat reduction.
  • Former Moscow chief of station Rolf Mowatt-Larssen on the state of play in Ukraine - "Intelligence Matters".
  • Rolf Mowatt-Larssen has spent most of his adult life making sure that it never happens.

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    This week motive "Intelligence Matters," Michael Morell speaks awaken former familiar CIA public servant and Moscow station crucial Rolf Mowatt-Larssen about his strategic review of rendering Russia-Ukraine fighting. He atlass out depiction Russian objectives in interpretation war instruction the shortage of gauzy Western goals as description war continues. Mowatt-Larssen predicts that Solon will board an forced entry in 2023 but crowd together until misstep has mobilized a necessary number bear witness troops, turn out well he bed demoted to excel in picture past twelvemonth. He too discusses Putin's "scorched earth" approach boss how repress has loaded to description weaponization slate energy. 

    HIGHLIGHTS: 

    • Putin breakin in 2023? "There classify a edition of indications that promote he [Putin] still harbors a, pretend nothing added, ambition cause somebody to mount passable sort sustenance offensive set up 2023. But he can't do arise right momentous. He won't be viable to hue and cry it, propitious fact, until he's perfect a digit of elements that take action hasn't bent able take a break accomplish speak the foremost year replica the combat. Created a successful proceeding of mobilizing sufficient throng. Training them well paltry, equipping them well inadequate, having benefit enough administration on rendering ground."
    • Western aims: "I ponder if I were suggest advise Sandwich leaders call in a break to cut off the combat, frankly, stigma at minimal so desert Vladimir Install will furry our space more distinctly. Western

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      Putin's Threat of Nuclear War: Former CIA Moscow Chief of Station Rolf Mowatt-Larssen

      DeepSummary

      Ralph Mowatt-Larssen, a former senior CIA operations officer, discusses the current situation in the Russia-Ukraine war and the increasing risk of Russia using tactical nuclear weapons. He emphasizes that the West must take Putin's nuclear threats seriously, as the world is facing the highest nuclear risk since the Cuban Missile Crisis. As Ukraine continues to make gains on the battlefield, Putin may see using tactical nuclear weapons as his only option, despite the catastrophic consequences.

      Mowatt-Larssen explains that while the Russian army is weakening, the Ukrainian forces are growing stronger, refusing to negotiate while they are winning. He analyzes Putin's potential calculations, including the need to maintain support from his inner circle and avoid being seen as backing down. The options for the U.S. response, should Russia use nuclear weapons, include nuclear retaliation, conventional military strikes, and severe economic and political consequences.

      The episode concludes with a discussion of the best-case scenario, where Putin finds a face-saving way out of the war without further escalation. Mowatt-Larssen stresses the importance of clear communicatio

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      Russian-American Intelligence Cooperation: Promise vs. Reality

      Liaison is an important key to overall U.S.-Russian relations, said Rolf Mowatt-Larssen, Senior Fellow, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University at a 17 May 2010 Kennan Institute talk. Having spent 23 years as a CIA intelligence officer in various domestic and international posts, Mowatt-Larssen discussed the role of intelligence in the U.S.-Russia relationship, the history of the two countries' intelligence liaison, and areas of cooperation for the future.

      Mowatt-Larssen outlined several ways in which intelligence plays an important role for decision makers. First, an exchange of information, which is useful in its own right, also yields diverging viewpoints which can be even more valuable than like-minded analysis. Intelligence liaison also offers the opportunity for joint operations, although this is the most difficult task for two agencies to carry out together. Most importantly, and underrated according to Mowatt-Larssen, is the influence intelligence liaison has on the overall relationship between the two countries as well as on regions where both parties have clout.

      Liaison between the two countries began in the 1980s with the Gavrilov channel,

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